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3) For the Explosion of Global PHS Market
- Mr. Yoshiki Chika, Director of DDI POCKET, Inc. -
Cumulative wireless communications
users have rapidly been increasing globally. However, those are expected
to reach saturation in Japan, U.S.A. and European countries. Those
countries are in need of new markets to offset the voice communications
market's expected future weak growth. Another trend is that communications
rates have been decreasing rapidly, especially for data services as
the emergence of Internet, WLAN (Wireless Local Area Network), etc.
Most of the Japanese carriers are hoping for future recovery of the
wireless communications ARPU through data communications service such
as "i-mode," etc. This is the same situation in European countries
as well; however, no carriers have succeeded in developing any data
service killer applications for ARPU recovery yet.
In such circumstances, PHS could be the most preferable solution with
its cost-performance balance. A cellular system is expensive though
it shows high performance in wide areas while hotspot type WLAN has
high data transmission speed, but a limited service area. The PHS
system can provide data application services with relatively enough
coverage at low network operation costs (per bit and per user) as
well as low initial investment compared with a cellular system. Further,
PHS handsets (Personal Station = PS) are less expensive, have lower
power consumption, and are smaller than cellular phones.
As for data services, DDI POCKET launched a packet service one year
ago (June 1st, 2001) and 128kbps service is available now. It can
be said that this is the first high-speed, flat-rate and nationwide
WLAN service in the Japanese mobile market. Cellular systems are regarded
as not suitable for flat-rate (unlimited usage) service due to air
capacity, network operation cost, etc. In this respect, PHS should
be a few years ahead of cellular systems.
Capability of air capacity expansion is one of the packet service's
advantages. Thanks to flexible CSs made by Kyocera and SANYO, air
capacity can be expanded up to 4-5 times larger than the circuit switching
quite easily by downloading a packet switching software to the CS.
We launched 32kbps data service in 1997, 64kbps in 1999, packet (flat-rate)
service in September 2001 and saw that data service MoU (Minutes of
Use) grew rapidly after the launch of the packet service. At present,
data users representing 15% of all subscribers are using 50% of the
total network usage.
The table below shows a data downloading cost comparison between W-CDMA
(Wideband CDMA; 3G service for example, NTT DoCoMo's "FOMA" in Japan)
and PHS Packet service.
| Data volume |
PHS packet
(Note 1) |
W-CDMA |
| 1 MB |
7 - 44 yen
(US$0.06 - 0.37) |
157 yen
(US$1.31) |
MP3: 4MB
(Note 2) |
25 - 175 yen
(US$0.21 - 1.46) |
625 yen
(US$5.21) |
Movie: 10MB
(Note 3) |
63 - 441 yen
(US$0.53 - 3.68) |
1,563 yen
(US$13.03) |
(Note 1) Experimental statistical data are used because of the PHS's
flat-rate system.
(Note 2) 4MB MP3 data corresponds to a piece of the music with 4 min
duration.
(Note 3) 10MB movie data corresponds to the moving picture with 1
min duration.
(Reference Exchange Rate : US$ 1 = 120 yen)
Though 3G technical specifications are excellent, 3G service's high
cost makes it difficult to develop its market and in this respect,
PHS is superior to 3G for multi-media data services. Further, adaptive
array antenna technology by Kyocera, SANYO and ArrayComm can enhance
the air capacity/frequency efficiency up to 2-3 times higher than
before. PHS has already adopted this technology two years ago. However,
cellular systems haven't yet, which could be another advantage of
the PHS for data services. At present, DDI POCKET is providing e-mail
and web services under the brand name H" Link and the music downloading
service is also available as multi-media contents (refer to the PHS
MoU Group News No.38).
Handsets are still important for further development of the PHS market.
High-function handsets are already available and much higher one will
become available in the future. However, such handsets can be quite
expensive. On the other hand, as for wireless data cards, a PCMCIA
(Personal Computer Memory Card International Association) card type
was launched two years ago and an even smaller CF (Compact Flash)
card type is available now. Further, memory card types will also be
available soon (refer to the separate article in this PHS MoU Group
News). Only simple functions are required for data cards to utilize
various applications by inserting it into a PDA, a watch, a digital
camera etc. that have a capability of realizing the upper layer protocol.
Its telemetering application to vending machine, copying machine etc.
is also promising for further market growth.
As for the backbone, current ISDN is expected to be gradually replaced
with an IP network due to cost benefits and it's necessary for us
to have our own full IP network.
In addition to the above, speeding up of the data transmission up
to 1 Mbps for example, is also necessary as the Japanese government
has already permitted it and allocated an additional necessary frequency
band to the carriers. DDI POCKET is now working for its standardization
and if it's realized, we'll be able to become competitive with other
cellular systems and WLAN business for more than 10 years.
Detailed material is available
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